🥃 Bourbon 40+ Index

Market Analysis Through Mid-Q3 2025 | 46 Bourbon Portfolio

Current Index Value

$1207.64
+0.89% (Mid-Q3)

Q3 2025 Performance

+0.89%
Continued momentum

Peak Value (2021)

$1,432.19
-15.69% Drawdown

5+ Year Performance

+8.22%
Since 2020

Bourbon 40+ Index Performance (2020 - Mid-Q3 2025)

Category Performance by Price Point

Period-over-Period Changes

Q2 2025 Recovery Pattern

Portfolio Composition

CategoryCountPercentageCurrent Avg Value
Ultra-Premium ($2,000+)1430.4%$3,127
Premium ($500-$2,000)1430.4%$734
Mid-Range ($200-$500)1430.4%$298
Entry-Level (Under $200)48.7%$145

Category Weight Distribution

Bourbon 40+ Index Components

Bourbon20202021202220232024Q1 2025Mid-Q2 2025End-Q2 2025Mid-Q3 2025
1792 12 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon$210$123$90$157$180$110$243$243$243
A.H. Hirsch Reserve 16 Year Old Straight Bourbon$2,151$3,680$3,162$3,650$2,990$3,000$3,162$3,250$3250
Basil Hayden's 10 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon$67$140$92$50$57$86$92$75$75
Black Maple Hill 16 Yr Old Single Barrel$3,437$3,486$3,500$4,251$3,938$4,750$4,750$4,750$4750
Black Maple Hill 23 Yr Old Rye$4,062$6,900$5,109$3,965$4,485$4,375$4,375$4,375$4375
Blanton's Single Barrel Gold Edition$454$299$299$131$125$123$225$247$288
Brown Forman's 'King of Kentucky' Single Barrel 14 Year$883$1,897$1,875$1,851$2,357$2,219$1,875$2,081$2081
Colonel E.H. Taylor Single Barrel (2018)$80$276$188$235$178$150$195$161$217
Eagle Rare 17 (2018)$1,180$1,459$1,466$1,380$1,449$1,166$1,276$1,276$1483
Elijah Craig 18 Year Single Barrel (2017)$270$320$385$250$212$218$207$218$178
Elijah Craig 23 Year Old Single Barrel (1990)$790$776$1,035$1,129$816$851$851$859$859
Elmer T. Lee '100 Year Tribute' Bourbon (2019)$747$934$977$862$667$667$650$828$701
Four Roses Limited Edition Small Batch (2017)$322$471$425$391$368$368$350$356$300
Four Roses Small Batch Barrel Strength (2019)$282$431$363$363$297$383$334$351$351
George T. Stagg Barrel Proof (BTAC 2018)$718$1,182$1,245$1,023$759$713$724$1,007$700
Heaven Hill 13 Year Old William Heaven Hill Bottled in Bond$1,014$1,080$819$606$645$747$575$529$529
Heaven Hill 7 Year Bottled in Bond Bourbon$86$95$92$92$57$30$34$35$35
Jack Daniel's Rested Rye$154$264$178$190$175$225$225$298$298
Jefferson's Presidential Select 21$336$575$736$356$471$625$552$500$495
Kentucky Owl 11 Year Small Batch Rye (Batch 1, 2017)$185$320$293$356$316$293$276$293$423
Knob Creek 15 Year Limited Edition$143$211$195$172$178$195$207$212$255
Michter's 10 Years Old Single Barrel Rye (2018)$265$345$310$300$322$253$276$345$427
Michter's 20 Years Old Single Barrel Bourbon (2018)$3,802$4,552$4,628$4,500$3,766$3,708$4,053$3,938$4025
Old Forester 12 Year 'Birthday' Bourbon (2018)$454$933$989$862$667$805$747$725$862
Old Rip Van Winkle 10 Year Bourbon (2018)$891$991$925$759$655$598$632$678$805
Old Rip Van Winkle 25$11,995$18,443$31,500$37,500$32,500$32,500$28,865$27,500$27500
Orphan Barrel Rhetoric 21$274$437$269$322$293$333$308$264$313
Orphan Barrel Rhetoric 23 Year Old$230$368$282$265$253$253$287$304$293
Pappy Van Winkle 13 Year Rye$1,955$1,677$1,748$1,495$1,161$1,455$1,808$1,808$1808
Pappy Van Winkle 15 Year Bourbon (2018)$2,300$2,625$1,977$1,966$1,727$1,288$1,449$1,518$1506
Pappy Van Winkle 20 Year Bourbon (2018)$3,277$3,433$2,932$3,363$2,196$1,840$1,966$2,001$1966
Pappy Van Winkle 23 Year Bourbon$3,435$4,788$4,140$3,910$3,244$2,961$2,875$3,030$3018
Parker's Heritage 24 Year Bottled-In-Bond (2016)$690$875$812$851$713$816$759$782$805
Rittenhouse 23 Year Old Rye$1,718$2,161$2,002$2,500$2,104$2,116$2,000$1,874$2127
Russell Reserve 1998 (2015)$1,063$2,241$2,000$2,673$2,328$2,415$2,300$2,443$2300
Sazerac 18 Year Old Rye (BTAC 2018)$598$876$862$805$632$598$632$1,029$1828
Thomas H. Handy Sazerac Rye (BTAC 2018)$657$762$747$598$471$419$408$862$862
Van Winkle Special Reserve Lot B 12 Year$771$940$1,042$867$632$655$658$861$861
Very Old Barton 6 Year 100 Proof$45$65$55$50$48$42$45$25$25
W.L. Weller 12 Year$264$345$345$235$178$201$166$273$356
Weller Full Proof$425$598$655$532$471$454$471$598$598
Wild Turkey Master's Keep 17 Year$250$345$398$356$298$276$287$1,380$1380
Willett Family Estate 4 Year Rye$85$155$135$125$115$95$105$299$299
William Larue Weller (BTAC 2018)$1,037$1,955$1,546$1,564$1,173$1,161$1,276$1,495$1495
Winkle Family Reserve Bourbon$1,495$1,851$1,748$1,564$1,380$1,288$1,380$150$150
Yamazaki 18 Year Single Malt$4,500$6,900$5,750$5,200$4,850$4,625$5,000$5,500$5500

Market Analysis & Key Insights

🆕 August 2025 Market Update

The bourbon market showed continued momentum in August with the index gaining +0.89% to reach $1,207.64. This modest gain demonstrates market stabilization following earlier volatility and builds on the strong Q2 2025 recovery momentum.

🚀 Biggest Gainers (August 2025)

Kentucky Owl 11 Year Rye: +44.37% ($293 → $423)
Colonel E.H. Taylor Single Barrel: +34.78% ($161 → $217)
Eagle Rare 17: +16.23% ($1,276 → $1,483)

These gains reflect renewed collector interest in aged rye expressions and limited Buffalo Trace allocations.

📉 Notable Corrections

George T. Stagg BTAC 2018: -30.49% ($1,007 → $700)
Weller Antique 107: -19.77% ($172 → $138)
Four Roses Limited Edition: -15.73% ($356 → $300)

Price corrections in premium segments indicate market normalization as oversupply concerns affect certain categories.

📈 Market Recovery Signal

The combined +6.91% gain through Mid-Q3 2025 represents sustained recovery momentum. Despite individual bottle volatility, the overall index shows resilience and suggests the bourbon correction cycle may be stabilizing at new equilibrium levels.

🎯 Industry Outlook

With production oversupply concerns mounting (600% increase since 2000) and trade tensions affecting exports, the market is experiencing a bifurcation between ultra-premium allocated releases and broader market segments finding new pricing equilibrium.

Historical Performance Summary

PeriodIndex ValuePeriod ChangeCumulative ReturnMarket Comment
2020 (Base)$1,115.87-0.00%Index launch year
2021$1,432.19+28.35%+28.35%Peak bubble year
2022$1,304.79-8.90%+16.93%Correction begins
2023$1,281.47-1.79%+14.84%Continued decline
2024$1,139.75-11.06%+2.14%Market trough
Q1 2025$1,128.78-0.96%+1.16%Stabilization
Mid-Q2 2025$1,171.02+3.74%+4.94%Recovery begins
End-Q2 2025$1,196.75+2.20%+7.25%Momentum building
Mid-Q3 2025$1,207.64+0.89%+8.22%Continued recovery

🗞️ Bourbon Market News & Updates

Industry Oversupply Concerns Mount as Production Hits Record Levels

August 8, 2025

The bourbon industry faces potential oversupply with production increasing 600% since 2000. In 2024 alone, 3.2 million barrels were filled while American whiskey sales declined for the first time in over 20 years. Major distilling companies including Brown-Forman, Green River, and Diageo have begun staff reductions.

Source: Bourbon Obsessed

Trade Wars Continue to Impact Bourbon Exports

August 12, 2025

Ongoing trade tensions with Europe continue as the EU proposes retaliatory tariffs on U.S. spirits. Canada has also implemented retaliatory tariffs on American whiskey. However, India reduced its bourbon tariff from 150% to 100%, providing some relief for exporters.

Source: OhBEV

Buffalo Trace Unveils Ultra-Premium Weller Releases

July 25, 2025

Buffalo Trace introduced two super-premium wheat whiskey innovations: Weller Millennium #2 ($7,500, 99 proof) and Weller 18 Year Old ($499, 90 proof). The releases showcase exceptional aging potential of wheat in American whiskey production and debuted in limited quantities.

Source: Bourbon Obsessed

Wenzel Whiskey Opens New Kentucky Distillery

August 8, 2025

Wenzel Whiskey opened a new $1.2 million distillery in Covington, Kentucky, in a historic 1916 building. The 10,000-square-foot facility includes distilling operations, gift shop, bar, and event space with increased production capacity.

Source: Bourbon Obsessed

Bourbon Women SIPosium Returns to Louisville

August 14-17, 2025

Nearly 500 women from across the United States gather in Louisville for the nation's only female-focused whiskey conference. The annual Bourbon Women SIPosium takes place at the Kentucky International Convention Center with celebrity dinners and educational workshops.

Source: The Whiskey Wash

Heaven Hill Announces $70M Campus Expansion

June 3, 2025

Heaven Hill announced a $70 million investment to expand its Bardstown campus with a new glass bottle manufacturing facility. Several distilleries launched new age-stated expressions reflecting growing consumer preference for mature whiskey.

Source: Brindiamo Group

🚀 August 2025 New Bourbon Releases

New Riff 2025 Headliner

August 1, 2025 • $150

11th Anniversary Blend: 28% 11-year corn whiskey, 27% 11-year bourbon, 15% 10-year Balboa rye, 15% 10-year rye, and 15% 8-year Aroostook malted rye. Limited to online purchases for distillery pickup only. Benefits Brighton Center charity.

Availability: Online only at New Riff Distilling

Weller Millennium #2 & Weller 18 Year

July 2025 • $7,500 / $499

Ultra-Premium Wheat Whiskeys: Millennium #2 (99 proof) blends wheated bourbon and wheat whiskeys from 2001-2006. Weller 18 Year (90 proof) represents the oldest age statement in the Weller portfolio. Millennium available retail, 18-Year via travel retail.

Availability: Limited quantities nationwide

Sazerac Rye 100 Proof

August 2025 • $30

Enhanced Cocktail Performance: Higher-proof version of classic Sazerac Rye designed for bartenders and enthusiasts. Maintains smooth, approachable profile while delivering greater structure. Available in 1L bottles with Barrel Select program for select accounts.

Availability: Select markets nationwide

15 STARS First West Line

August 2025 • $60-80

Three Expression Launch: Small Batch (102 proof, $60), Toasted Oak (98 proof, $70), and Extra Aged 8-Year (100 proof, $80). Features proprietary red, white, and blue heritage corn. Bottles use recycled blue glass inspired by early Kentucky artisans.

Availability: Select retailers and online

Hard Truth Mizunara Finished Sweet Mash Rye

July 25, 2025 • Price TBD

Japanese Oak Finishing: Limited-edition 94% rye, 6% malted barley finished with toasted Mizunara oak. Bottled at cask strength (124.7 proof) from just 21 barrels. Grain-to-glass production at Hard Truth Distilling.

Availability: Distillery and select retailers

Minden Mill Nevada Straight Rye

August 2025 • $45

Single Estate Nevada Terroir: 4-year-old rye (80% rye, 10% soft white wheat, 10% estate-malted barley) at 94 proof. Non-chill filtered, cut with Sierra Nevada snowmelt water. Estate Whiskey Alliance member with full estate control.

Availability: Nationwide and online

Data Usage & Attribution

The data and analysis contained in this report may be used for research, educational, and commercial purposes, provided that proper attribution is given to the Cask100 Bourbon40+ Index. Any reproduction, distribution, or derivative use of this data must include the following attribution: "Data source: Cask100 Bourbon40+ Index".

This index is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The bourbon market can be volatile and illiquid.