🥃 Bourbon 40+ Index

Market Analysis Through Q2 2025 | 40+ Bourbon Portfolio

Current Index Value

$1,196.75
+2.20% (End Q2)

Q2 2025 Performance

+6.02%
Best quarter since 2021

Peak Value (2021)

$1,432.19
-16.44% Drawdown

5+ Year Performance

+7.25%
Since 2020

Bourbon 40+ Index Performance (2020 - Q2 2025)

Category Performance by Price Point

Period-over-Period Changes

Q2 2025 Recovery Pattern

Portfolio Composition

Category Count Percentage Current Avg Value
Ultra-Premium ($2,000+) 13 28.3% $3,127
Premium ($500-$2,000) 16 34.8% $734
Mid-Range ($200-$500) 13 28.3% $298
Entry-Level (Under $200) 4 8.7% $145

Category Weight Distribution

Bourbon 40+ Index Components

Bourbon 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Q1 2025 Mid-Q2 2025 End-Q2 2025
1792 12 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon $210 $123 $90 $157 $180 $110 $243 $243
A.H. Hirsch Reserve 16 Year Old Straight Bourbon $2,151 $3,680 $3,162 $3,650 $2,990 $3,000 $3,162 $3,250
Basil Hayden's 10 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon $67 $140 $92 $50 $57 $86 $92 $75
Black Maple Hill 16 Yr Old Single Barrel $3,437 $3,486 $3,500 $4,251 $3,938 $4,750 $4,750 $4,750
Black Maple Hill 23 Yr Old Rye $4,062 $6,900 $5,109 $3,965 $4,485 $4,375 $4,375 $4,375
Blanton's Single Barrel Gold Edition $454 $299 $299 $131 $125 $123 $225 $247
Brown Forman's 'King of Kentucky' Single Barrel 14 Year $883 $1,897 $1,875 $1,851 $2,357 $2,219 $1,875 $2,081
Colonel E.H. Taylor Single Barrel (2018) $80 $276 $188 $235 $178 $150 $195 $161
Eagle Rare 17 (2018) $1,180 $1,459 $1,466 $1,380 $1,449 $1,166 $1,276 $1,276
Elijah Craig 23 Year Old Single Barrel (1990) $790 $776 $1,035 $1,129 $816 $851 $851 $859
Elijah Craig 18 Year Single Barrel (2017) $270 $320 $385 $250 $212 $218 $207 $218
Elmer T. Lee '100 Year Tribute' Bourbon (2019) $747 $934 $977 $862 $667 $667 $650 $828
Four Roses Limited Edition Small Batch (2017) $322 $471 $425 $391 $368 $368 $350 $356
Four Roses Small Batch Barrel Strength (2019) $282 $431 $363 $363 $297 $383 $334 $351
George T. Stagg Barrel Proof (BTAC 2018) $718 $1,182 $1,245 $1,023 $759 $713 $724 $1,007
Heaven Hill 7 Year Bottled in Bond Bourbon $86 $95 $92 $92 $57 $30 $34 $35
Heaven Hill 13 Year Old William Heaven Hill Bottled in Bond $1,014 $1,080 $819 $606 $645 $747 $575 $529
Jack Daniel's Rested Rye $154 $264 $178 $190 $175 $225 $225 $298
Jefferson's Presidential Select 21 $336 $575 $736 $356 $471 $625 $552 $500
Kentucky Owl 11 Year Small Batch Rye (Batch 1, 2017) $185 $320 $293 $356 $316 $293 $276 $293
Knob Creek 15 Year Limited Edition $143 $211 $195 $172 $178 $195 $207 $212
Michter's 10 Years Old Single Barrel Rye (2018) $265 $345 $310 $300 $322 $253 $276 $345
Michter's 20 Years Old Single Barrel Bourbon (2018) $3,802 $4,552 $4,628 $4,500 $3,766 $3,708 $4,053 $3,938
Old Forester 12 Year 'Birthday' Bourbon (2018) $454 $933 $989 $862 $667 $805 $747 $725
Old Rip Van Winkle 10 Year Bourbon (2018) $891 $991 $925 $759 $655 $598 $632 $678
Old Rip Van Winkle 25 $11,995 $18,443 $31,500 $37,500 $32,500 $32,500 $28,865 $27,500
Pappy Van Winkle 13 Year Rye $1,955 $1,677 $1,748 $1,495 $1,161 $1,455 $1,808 $1,808
Pappy Van Winkle 15 Year Bourbon (2018) $2,300 $2,625 $1,977 $1,966 $1,727 $1,288 $1,449 $1,518
Pappy Van Winkle 20 Year Bourbon (2018) $3,277 $3,433 $2,932 $3,363 $2,196 $1,840 $1,966 $2,001
Pappy Van Winkle 23 Year Bourbon $3,435 $4,788 $4,140 $3,910 $3,244 $2,961 $2,875 $3,030
Van Winkle Special Reserve Lot B 12 Year $771 $940 $1,042 $867 $632 $655 $658 $861
Orphan Barrel Rhetoric 21 $274 $437 $269 $322 $293 $333 $308 $264
Orphan Barrel Rhetoric 23 Year Old $230 $368 $282 $265 $253 $253 $287 $304
Parker's Heritage 24 Year Bottled-In-Bond (2016) $690 $875 $812 $851 $713 $816 $759 $782
Rittenhouse 23 Year Old Rye $1,718 $2,161 $2,002 $2,500 $2,104 $2,116 $2,000 $1,874
Russell Reserve 1998 (2015) $1,063 $2,241 $2,000 $2,673 $2,328 $2,415 $2,300 $2,443
Thomas H. Handy Barrel Proof Sazerac Rye (BTAC 2018) $657 $762 $747 $598 $471 $419 $408 $402
W.L. Weller 12 Year $264 $345 $345 $235 $178 $201 $166 $273
Weller Antique 107 Bourbon (2018) $164 $155 $161 $161 $178 $149 $178 $172
Wild Turkey Diamond Edition $195 $299 $419 $276 $235 $325 $287 $258
Wild Turkey 'Tradition' Bourbon (1994) $365 $375 $255 $342 $327 $471 $471 $304
Wild Turkey Tribute 15 Yr Old $1,562 $1,538 $1,528 $1,955 $1,851 $1,750 $2,328 $2,501
Willett Family Estate 11 Year Single Barrel $1,883 $1,466 $1,265 $1,046 $1,187 $1,000 $1,063 $1,012
William Larue Weller Barrel Proof (BTAC 2018) $1,037 $1,955 $1,546 $1,564 $1,173 $1,161 $1,276 $1,196
William Heaven Hill 15 Cask Strength $2,812 $2,571 $3,000 $2,231 $3,651 $3,018 $3,000 $3,000
Woodford Reserve Double Double Oaked $150 $230 $356 $189 $276 $207 $236 $189

Market Analysis & Key Insights

🔄 Market Recovery Signal

The +6.02% gain in Q2 2025 represents the strongest quarterly performance since the 2021 peak. This suggests the bourbon correction cycle may be nearing its end, with collectors beginning to re-enter the market at more attractive valuations.

📈 Category Performance Patterns

Ultra-Premium and Premium categories (60% of index weight) are showing signs of stabilization after the correction. Mid-Range bourbons continue to demonstrate resilience, while Standard and Entry-Level categories provide portfolio balance.

🎯 Value Discovery

At 16.44% below the 2021 peak, many quality bourbons across all price categories are trading at compelling valuations. The market appears to be finding support at these levels.

Historical Performance Summary

Period Index Value Period Change Cumulative Return Market Comment
2020 (Base) $1,115.87 - 0.00% Index launch year
2021 $1,432.19 +28.35% +28.35% Peak bubble year
2022 $1,304.79 -8.90% +16.93% Correction begins
2023 $1,281.47 -1.79% +14.84% Continued decline
2024 $1,139.75 -11.06% +2.14% Market trough
Q1 2025 $1,128.78 -0.96% +1.16% Stabilization
Mid-Q2 2025 $1,171.02 +3.74% +4.94% Recovery begins
End-Q2 2025 $1,196.75 +2.20% +7.25% Momentum building

🗞️ Bourbon Market News & Updates

Bourbon Industry Outlook for 2025

January 7, 2025

The bourbon industry achieved record sales in 2024 with $5.3 billion in revenue and 12% year-over-year growth. Export growth climbed 15%, with key markets in Europe, Japan, and Australia showing significant gains.

Source: Lane Report

No One Wants to Talk About the Oversupply of Scotch and Bourbon

April 29, 2025

Barrel prices for aged bourbon have dropped significantly, with 8-year Kentucky bourbon now available in the $2,200-$2,500 range, down from $4,000+ in 2022. The oversupply could impact the industry through 2028.

Source: VinePair

Whiskey & Bourbon Industry Roundup — May 2025

June 3, 2025

Heaven Hill announced a $70 million investment to expand its Bardstown campus with a new glass bottle manufacturing facility. Several distilleries launched new age-stated expressions reflecting growing consumer preference for mature whiskey.

Source: Brindiamo Group

What Is the State of American Whiskey as We Begin 2025?

January 23, 2025

American whiskey sales declined in 2023 for the first time in 20+ years, with 2024 showing further decline. However, industry experts say "the sky is not falling" as bourbon maintains strong status domestically and internationally.

Source: Whisky Advocate

American Whiskey Report March 2025

May 21, 2025

Trade wars and tariffs are affecting the whiskey industry, with several distilling companies including Brown Forman, Green River, and Diageo slashing staff. India reduced its bourbon tariff from 150% to 100%.

Source: Alcohol Professor

Whiskey Market 2025 Forecasts and Trends

April 5, 2025

Canadian whisky enters the U.S. tariff-free, giving producers like Crown Royal a pricing edge. U.S. whiskey production hit record levels with Kentucky producing 2.7 million barrels of bourbon in 2022, raising supply concerns.

Source: OhBEV

🚀 Upcoming Bourbon Releases & New Drops

2025 Buffalo Trace Antique Collection (BTAC)

Fall 2025 (Expected)

The annual BTAC lineup returns with George T. Stagg Bourbon, Thomas H. Handy Rye, and other coveted expressions. Pricing expected to remain around $150 MSRP per bottle, though secondary market values will likely be much higher.

Source: Bourbon Bossman

Maker's Mark 2025 Wood Finishing Series "Keeper's Release"

March 19, 2025

New limited edition cask strength bourbon (109.2 proof) finished with two distinct toasted American oak stave profiles. Available at select retailers for $75 MSRP, honoring the warehouse team's barrel rotation process.

Source: The Bourbon Review

Parker's Heritage Collection 19th Edition

Fall 2025 (Expected)

Following 2024's exceptional 14-year Malt Whiskey finished in ex-Cognac barrels, the 19th edition promises another unique expression. Past releases have ranged from bourbon to rye to wheat whiskey. Expected MSRP around $170.

Source: Uproxx

Eagle Rare 12 Year

2025 (Date TBD)

New 95-proof bourbon from Buffalo Trace positioned between Eagle Rare 10 and Eagle Rare 17. Features sweet oak and vanilla notes with a port wine-like finish. Label approved but release date not yet confirmed by Buffalo Trace.

Source: Frootbat

Angel's Envy Cellar Collection Vol 5 Rye

May 2025

First Cellar Collection release under new Master Distiller Owen Martin. Straight rye finished in French oak Extra Añejo tequila barrels from Hacienda Patrón, including whiskeys aged up to 11 years. Limited availability expected.

Source: Bourbon Obsessed

Old Fitzgerald Bottled-in-Bond Spring 2025

Spring 2025

Heaven Hill's popular decanter series continues with a 9-year-old expression at 100 proof. Following 2024's exceptional steel tank-aged release, collectors have high expectations. Expected MSRP around $130.

Source: Soaking Oak

Data Usage & Attribution

The data and analysis contained in this report may be used for research, educational, and commercial purposes, provided that proper attribution is given to the Cask100 Bourbon40+ Index. Any reproduction, distribution, or derivative use of this data must include the following attribution: "Data source: Cask100 Bourbon40+ Index".

This index is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The bourbon market can be volatile and illiquid.